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Monsoon to be delayed by six days

Earlier it was expected to come by June 1, however, it is predicted to be ‘above normal’: IMD

Policy Pulse
Publish Date: May 16 2016 12:45PM | Updated Date: May 16 2016 12:48PM

Monsoon to be delayed by six days
In this fiery heat of summers, only monsoon is seen as a resort but now it may be delayed by 6 days. It is likely to arrive six days late in India than was expected.
 
 
Monsoon is likely to hit Kerala coast on June 7 which earlier was expected to be June 1, as said by India Meteorological Department (IMD).
 
 
India, already suffering from drought in various lands, may have to see an extended heat spell.
 
 
The department said its monsoon onset forecast was based on six set parameters which include minimum temperatures over northwest India and pre-monsoon rainfall peak over the Indian peninsula. Since 2005, only once has the actual onset been outside the margin of error of IMD's prediction, it said. That happened last year, when monsoon arrived on June 5, six days later than the predicted date (May 30).
 
 
On a contrary, private forecaster Skymet has predicted that it is likely to touch between May 28 and May 30.
 
 
Arrival of the monsoon signals a change in the wind direction, with breezes originating from the seas predominantly beginning to blow over the Indian landmass. After hitting Kerala, monsoon winds move north in fits and starts, covering the entire country in around a month and a half.
 
 
The likely delay in its arrival will have no effect on monsoon's performance, according to IMD. 
 
 
IMD said conditions were favourable for monsoon's onset over Nicobar Islands, south Andaman Sea and parts of south Bay of Bengal around May 17.
 
 
On a good note, the monsoon is predicted to be above normal which could be seen as a big relief for the farmers and ongoing drought conditions, with rains during the June-September season pegged at 106% of the long term average.