Monsoon 2016 could see the first event of excess rainfall since 1994, which was pegged at 112% of the long period average (LPA). At the moment, all the meteorological parameters deciding the fate of Monsoon are just too good to be true.
Even after revision of Monsoon forecast it got settled on 109% (error margin of +/-4%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.
Cyclone Roanu brought the much-needed relief from heatwave across India. Even though we are in the pre-Monsoon season, a prolonged spell of widespread rainfall activity on and off the East Coast of India gave the people a taste of Monsoon. At the same time, it seems to have heightened their anxiousness regarding the onset of Monsoon.
In the back-to-back drought years, 2014 and 2015, the total area under Kharif food grains was 101.79 and 103.14 million hectares, respectively. This year the total area under Kharif food grains is expected to increase by 15 to 20 percent over last year, accordingly to a report.
In 2016, area under oilseeds including soybean, groundnut, pulses (tur, moong and urad) and rice may also increase. The area under cotton may reduce marginally while total agricultural land under sugarcane may remain the same as previous year.